May
31, 2005
My
goal in this update is to share with you a comprehensive
overview of the status of our Infinitely Variable
Transmission (IVT™) and the truly exciting
developments that are occurring.
Our
New, All-Hydraulic Transmission
First
and foremost, I want to share with you our enthusiasm
that, as a result of our research efforts and
testing of our transmission over the past eight
months, we have created an extremely viable new
product for Torvec – an all-hydraulic (“hydrostat”)
transmission.
1.
Why is an all-hydraulic transmission such a great
product?
In
a word, cost. Our hydraulic transmission has approximately
170 total parts, of which 25 are separately manufactured
parts (excluding nuts, bolts, screws and the like).
This contrasts with an average of over 700 parts
for an automatic transmission, the majority of
which have to be separately manufactured. Significantly,
our hydraulic transmission has solved the major
problems of weight, size, noise, heat and lack
of start-up ability at low revolutions per minute
(rpm) all of which have long plagued hydraulic
transmissions. While auto companies have recognized
the potential benefits of an all-hydraulic transmission
for over 50 years, these hurdles have heretofore
prevented the development of a hydrostat for automotive
use.
2. What are the principal markets for the hydraulic
transmission?
The
hydrostat is by nature a stand alone, infinitely
variable transmission operating purely on the
hydraulics of Torvec’s unique pumps and
motors. As a standalone transmission, it is ideal
for use in subcompact, compact and mid-sized cars
where the auto companies’ profit margin
is narrowest (see the May 9th issue of Business
Week, “Why GM’s Plan Won’t Work”).
The
most exciting market for the all-hydraulic transmission
may very well be the rapidly emerging, but highly
competitive Third World markets like China where:
- cost
reduction is king
- roads
are difficult to traverse
- city
driving is generally congested
- vehicle
speeds are reduced
3.
What about the SUV, Hummer, truck and bus markets?
While
Torvec’s unique pumps and motors can function
as a standalone transmission, they also form the
core of Torvec’s infinitely variable, hydro-mechanical
transmission. Our hydro-mechanical transmission
operates both on our unique
pumps and motors and on gears. The addition of
a gear pack to the hydraulic transmission enables
our transmission to operate under the greater
torque (power) requirements demanded by SUV’s,
Hummers, trucks and buses, and is the ideal transmission
for these types of vehicles. This is possible
in part because the mechanical portion of the
transmission enables our pumps and motors to operate
under lower loads than when they are functioning
on a standalone (hydraulic) basis.
4. So, the hydraulic and the hydro-mechanical
transmissions constitute Torvec’s modular
transmission for which several patent applications
were filed?
Precisely.
In effect, we have created two transmissions for
different market applications. Any company that
licenses or acquires our transmission technology
can decide for itself the application it wishes
to pursue and the markets it wishes to penetrate.
We describe this concept as a modular unit and
recently, we filed a patent application to protect
our shareholders’ interest in this valuable
technology.
5. All of these developments took place
in as little a time as eight months with limited
funds?
Yes.
As most shareholders are aware, in 2003, we successfully
tested our hydro-mechanical transmission in a
diesel-fueled Dodge Ram 4x4. See our press release
dated November 10, 2003. In April 2004, we tested
our hydraulic pump at the EPA national laboratory
in Ann Arbor, Michigan to determine its efficiency
and to answer the question whether our hydro-mechanical
transmission could be adapted to give greater
performance in a gasoline
engine, in addition to a diesel engine. This determination
was necessary because diesel engines operate at
low rpm and generate high torque, in contrast
to gasoline engines that operate at high rpm and
generate little torque and low fuel efficiencies
at low rpm.
The
question of suitability of our transmission for
a gasoline engine lay primarily in the mechanical
and volumetric efficiencies of our hydraulic pump
and motor. We therefore installed our pump and
motor as a standalone transmission in a Tahoe
and conducted a series of exhaustive tests, facilitated
by our acquisition of a state-of-the art dynamometer.
Our tests were designed to demonstrate our transmission’s
compatibility with a gasoline engine, its operating
efficiencies, its durability and the fuel economy
obtainable with the unit.
During
this period, we made a number of improvements
to the transmission, including a major design
improvement to our motor, enabling it to operate
over an infinite range of ratios (a design feature
previously limited to our pump).
Shareholders
should be proud that we now have a modular transmission
(see “Q&A 4” above) that
operates interchangeably with gasoline and diesel
engines. You should be equally proud that all
of this was accomplished within eight months on
a budget that pales in comparison with the budgets
of major auto companies.
6. Why is Torvec’s transmission
better than an automatic transmission?
- No
vehicle creep — We have all experienced
sitting at a red light and our foot comes off
the brake. The vehicle creeps forward or rolls
backward which, if unanticipated, can be extremely
dangerous. Torvec’s transmission eliminates
vehicle creep, whether forward or backward.
- Incredible
vehicle control — On the other
hand, our transmission enables a driver to dramatically
control vehicle speed, reducing speeds to as
little as one-half mph (i.e., two rpm of the
wheels), thus providing greater safety in inclement
weather, less fuel usage in traffic jams, greater
control and flexibility to maneuver through
parking lots and narrow streets (such as those
in Asia), as well as greater maneuverability
on rough terrain and poor road conditions.
We invite you to try to drive your own car for
any distance at 2 or 3 mph.
- Greater
MPG during rapid acceleration —
A considerable portion of typical
city and suburban driving involves “rapid”
acceleration, that is, acceleration from zero
to 30 mph at a rate exceeding 6 mph per second.
In side-by-side testing of the hydraulic transmission
against the Tahoe’s automatic transmission
in the zero to 30 mph acceleration range, the
automatic transmission used 100% more fuel than
our transmission.
While
this percentage demonstrates the enormous fuel
savings potential of our transmission, it is
not the kind of information that can be obtained
readily from various EPA-sanctioned tests. This
is because EPA tests require the driver to accelerate
at prescribed, significantly lower acceleration
rates. (See more about the controversy surrounding
EPA sanctioned tests in “Q&A 7”
below).
- Greater
MPG for NYC EPA Test — We were
asked by auto company representatives to compare
our transmission side-by-side under exclusive
city driving scenarios, such as those found
in New York City, Chicago, Los Angeles, Rio
de Janeiro and Beijing. We then ran an entire
series of side-by-side comparisons utilizing
the EPA-sanctioned New York City cycle test.
Over the course of all of these tests, our transmission
consistently achieved an average of 4.33% improvement
in fuel efficiency over the automatic.
7. How do you reconcile a 100% improvement
in the zero to 30 mph acceleration range and “only”
a 4.33% improvement in the overall New York City
test?
First
of all, it is important for you to understand
the nature of the EPA New York City test and the
opportunities for fuel improvement it allows.
The
New York City cycle test runs for 9 minutes, 58
seconds and covers a distance of 1.18 miles. Of
the time spent on the test, the vehicle is idling
for 211 seconds (approximately 35%), accelerating
for 208 seconds (approximately 35%) and decelerating
in coast mode for 179 seconds (approximately 30%).
The average speed that must be maintained by the
driver is 7.1 mph. The top speed permitted is
27.6 mph, and this speed must be attained starting
from zero at an average acceleration rate of 1.4
mph per second (which translates into almost 18
seconds to attain a speed of 25 mph!).
Accordingly,
the area for fuel efficiency improvement is confined
to a band of approximately 3.5 minutes covering
only 35% of the entire test, since we cannot improve
fuel efficiency in the idle and coast modes. Of
that 3.5 minutes of acceleration, none of the
time is conducted at an acceleration rate of at
least 6 mph per second where our transmission
truly shines.
As
can be seen, the New York City cycle test (like
all of the other EPA-sanctioned tests developed
in the mid-1970’s) is extremely unrealistic
and directly contributes to the “MPG sticker
shock” syndrome consistently experienced
by American drivers. Consumer complaints are met
with the auto industry’s stock response
that American drivers are “lead-footed”
when in fact, the sticker fuel mpg is a result
of a driving test that allows the vehicle to operate
in a narrow zone of high efficiency for an automatic
transmission.
Lead-footed
or not, Americans simply do not drive the way
the EPA says we do and, like it or not, the way
we drive has a direct and significant impact on
gas mileage. And, reputable organizations, such
as the American Automobile Association and even
the EPA itself, are beginning to understand that
only comparable, side-by-side testing under real-world
driving scenarios will provide the public and
industry with any truly meaningful information
regarding fuel efficiency. In fact, the Senate
passed a highway funding bill in May that contains
a provision requiring the EPA to make its fuel
economy tests more realistic. The AAA says its
own tests show the stickers could be off by as
much as 30 percent on some models. Further confirming
this point, OEM’s with whom we are having
discussions have stated that they would be extremely
pleased with as much as a 5% improvement on these
tests.
(For
further information, please refer to the following
website: http://www.aaa-calif.com/corpinfo/05-03-03-mileage.asp
and the Wall Street Journal article of May 12,
2005 regarding the EPA’s announcement that
it is going to overhaul its tests and methodology).
8.
What other advantages does our transmission have
over the automatic?
- Greater
operating efficiencies/durability —
Durability and efficiency are directly related
(i.e., the more efficient a device is, the more
durable it will also be under test conditions).
Heat generated is an extremely accurate measure
of efficiency. Our all-hydraulic transmission
operates in a temperature range of 90 to 160
degrees (the higher temperature reflects higher
loads and more difficult driving conditions),
with a general operating temperature of approximately
140 degrees. There is no oil cooler (radiator)
required, and the entire system utilizes only
6 quarts of oil! In its operating range, our
pump is 92% efficient and the motor is 92% efficient,
reflecting an overall operating efficiency of
85% (92% x 92%). These efficiencies are validated
by our operating temperatures. A further confirmation
of our transmission’s efficiency is greater
fuel mileage during acceleration as previously
described.
Other
durability tests have been conducted. First,
recall that we developed our all-hydraulic transmission
for subcompact, compact and mid-sized cars.
These vehicles are less than one-half the weight
of our Tahoe as well as one-half of the horsepower.
Effectively, we have been driving this transmission
at over 100% overload during the entire testing
period. In addition to operating in an overloaded
condition, we ran the unit in excess of the
design limits. We also performed a series of
rapid deceleration tests without braking, including
a “shock-load” deceleration of the
Tahoe from 23 mph to zero in exactly one second!
- Greater,
less costly compatibility with developing accumulator
technology
Developing accumulator technology promises to
have a significant impact on fuel efficiency
– it enables a vehicle to use no fuel
while at rest (since the engine is turned off)
and accelerate from rest to approximately 10
mph again using no fuel. This is because kinetic
energy produced by hydraulic pressure while
the vehicle is coasting and decelerating is
not wasted, but stored by the system in the
accumulator bags (“tanks”) for later
use.
In our discussion above, we indicated that our
all-hydraulic transmission did not generate
fuel savings while at idle and coasting. If,
however, our transmission is integrated with
an accumulator system, the combined unit would
increase fuel efficiency significantly.
We believe that our all-hydraulic transmission
is the most compatible transmission to integrate
with advanced accumulator technology. This is
because the ability to add a complete accumulator
system is built into the design of our hydrostat.
Accumulator technology requires the installation
of a hydraulic pump and motor in order to function.
Obviously, our hydrostat already furnishes the
pump and motor unit necessary for the accumulator
system. An OEM need only add the plumbing and
the bags. This provides another illustration
why our hydraulic transmission is the most cost
effective technology available to generate fuel
savings. Automatic transmission technology requires
the addition of a pump and motor, accumulator
bags and plumbing.
9.
Has Torvec missed its “window of opportunity”
with the emergence of electric hybrid and fuel
cell technology?
DEFINITELY
NOT. Discussions concerning the advantages of
electric hybrid and fuel cell technology miss
one, all important fact: all electric hybrids
and fuel cell driven vehicles require a transmission
to function! The issue then is, once again, which
transmission is the most efficient.
Obviously, the auto companies will continue to
attempt to surmount the economic, efficiency,
ecological and logistical problems currently associated
with electric hybrid and fuel cell technologies.
However, it is vital that our shareholders understand
that the auto industry’s enthusiasm for
Torvec’s transmission has not waned. To
the contrary, the auto industry recognizes that
transmissions will always be required, regardless
of engine technology in order for a vehicle to
move forward and backwards. They have continued
to support our efforts to perfect our transmission
technology since it may be the perfect technology
to integrate with any future engine device.
10. What are the next steps that you anticipate
in developing and testing this modular transmission?
Automakers are increasingly calling upon us to
create an almost production-ready model transmission
that can be installed in a vehicle and driven
under real-world driving scenarios. And, as we
have indicated above, the American public, Congress,
reputable independent organizations and the EPA
itself are undeniably concluding that real-world
driving scenarios are the only real way to generate
meaningful mpg data. Accordingly, our emphasis
will be to move forward with our modular transmission
technology best suited for real world driving
conditions.
At
the same time, there continues to be global debate
as to whether diesel technology will play an ever
increasing role in providing an ecologically sound,
fuel efficient, economic solution to the problems
besetting the auto industry worldwide. Significantly,
our shareholders should recall that our transmission
was originally designed to operate, achieve significant
fuel economies and emission reduction with a diesel-fuel
engine (again, see our press release on this subject
dated November 10, 2003). Our efforts in developing
our transmission’s affinity for gasoline
technology has never meant that we have retreated
from our long-held basic premise that diesel technology,
not fuel cells or hybrids, may very well be the
ultimate solution to the issues of fuel economy
and pollution reduction. Our confidence has been
reinforced by recent announcement that the Persian
Gulf oil states, in cooperation with oil titans,
Royal Dutch/Shell Group, ChevronTexaco Corp. and
ExxonMobil, are constructing a $20 Billion facility
in Qatar to convert natural gas into an odorless
diesel fuel that would reduce dependence upon
the smelly, sufur soot belched by engines firing
on conventional diesel fuel. Interestingly, ExxonMobil’s
$7 Billion commitment is the largest investment
in the corporate history of America’s largest
company, dwarfing the investment in fuel cell
technology by government and the private sector
alike.
The
Middle East focus on gas-to-liquid fuel (GTL),
the size of the investment by the world’s
oil giants and the strategic location of the GTL
facilities in pro-Western Qatar all lead to the
conclusion that very soon, there will be plants
producing a clear liquid that will have the high
efficiency of diesel fuel (one-third more efficient
than gas), but none of the smog producing pollutants
of conventional, crude oil-based fuel. I am very
pleased that the insight of Torvec’s founders
has positioned your Company to readily exploit
this paradigm shift in fuel.
I
will keep you informed of our progress in commercializing
all of Torvec technologies on a regular basis.
Sincerely,
Philip A. Fain,
Chief Executive Officer
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Message History |
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February 6, 2006 |
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January 13, 2006 |
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December 5, 2005 |
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November 8, 2005 |
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October 31, 2005 |
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October 25, 2005 |
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September 20, 2005 |
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September 7, 2005 |
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May 31 , 2005 |
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May 10 , 2005 |
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April 6 , 2005 |
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March 15 , 2005 |
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March 11 , 2005 |
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January 6, 2005 |
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December 14, 2004 |
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November 19, 2004 |
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November 10, 2004 |
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October 26, 2004 |
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October 4, 2004 |
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September 22, 2004 |
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July 20, 2004 |
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